That would be a very cynical attitude to take; but there is mounting evidence that global warming may not be happening after all. Indeed, the average temperature of the Earth has fallen every year for the last 10 years. This is, to recycle a phrase, “an inconvenient truth” and one that all the policy makers would prefer to ignore, or to dismiss as merely a delay in the inevitable process of global warming. This would have nothing to do with their vested interests, of course. The same scientific policy makers projected a huge rise in global temperature related to the increase in CO2 in our atmosphere, but while CO2 has continued to rise to match expectations, the global average temperature has not risen at anywhere near the projected rate: this would tend to suggest that the study linking CO2 to global warming should be revisited. In fact, some senior physicists have subjected the IPCC’s working to a bit of analysis and have cast doubts over the data used, the way it has been interpreted and the conclusions drawn from these studies.

Finally, just to add a bit more doubt to the whole global warming issue: a new study suggests that as polar ice melts it allows billions of tonnes of phytoplankton to bloom in previously ice-bound seas. These phytoplankton might be a more efficient carbon store than all the rainforests of the world put together, which may well lead to a dramatic drop in the amount of CO2 in our atmosphere. This remains to be seen, but it is clear that whilst melting ice-sheets are bad for polar bears, they may not be bad for the Earth as a whole.

I, personally, don’t believe that the whole global warming issue is as bad as has been made out, and I think that profit and the benefit of a worried and guilty society are the main reasons that this has been pushed into the mainstream media and so onto an unwitting public. I don’t believe that it is coincidence that global warming became the main threat to the world at around the same time that the Cold War finished: governments like their populace to have something other than government to worry about, and so give the government an opportunity to show itself as protecting it’s people. We currently have global warming and terrorists to keep us worried, and I’m certain that there is a killer disease, potential natural disaster or even alien attack waiting in the background, just in case any of the current sources of threat are disproved. Maybe I’m too cynical, but it stops me having to worry.

Hurricane Gustav looks to force them to abandon, or at least reschedule their convention due to rain and wind of epic proportions.

I don’t believe this has a “prime cause” but is, instead,  just ironic coincidence; but surely this should cause some of these folks who listen to someone who preaches “hate thy neighbour” rather than “love thy neighbour”, and who encourages people to abandon Christian values of “love thy enemies” or “turn the other cheek”, to re-evaluate where their beliefs lie.

Unemployment in Spain is approaching 10%, with further increases expected as building firms start to go under. Even worse, there is now a glut of housing with 700,000 new homes currently on the market without any buyers. This will lead to tumbling property prices and is already starting to expand into other markets such as car sales. This collapsing economy of one of the main European member states may well have a knock on effect with Spain’s neighbours, such as France and Italy, who are already struggling with difficulties of their own. Whether the European Union can fend off large scale recession remains to be seen, but Spain’s example doesn’t bode well.

There is, however, a lot that we can do to try to avert this situation. It is scary to think that California’s oil consumption (for transport, at least) is more than that of China – so 3,700,000 people use more oil than 1,3000,000,000 people, which is absurd if you think about it. Part of the problem, in the US at least, is that car manufacturers have failed to make any noticeable improvements to their products recently, whilst Japanese and European manufacturers have worked hard on fuel efficiency for at least 30 years. This has lead to General Motors, one of the largest vehicle manufacturers in the world, to be significantly at risk of bankruptcy at the moment. Car sales worldwide have slowed recently, with car usage also showing significant drops as people take to foot, bike or bus to beat the rising cost or fuel. Over the next few years, as oil prices remain volatile and generally head upward, it is likely that only those manufacturers who can provide viable alternative energy sources for their vehicles will be able to ride out the coming storm.

As I have mentioned previously, the entire Peak Oil aftermath can be avoided if we can provide alternative methods for producing energy and for transport. Hydrogen fuel cells are a good option, and appear far more likely than cold fusion, but hydrogen fuel cells are usually only invoked for transport solutions, and electricity supply is possibly far more important than transport. It really is time to ask your government representative when the nuclear option is going to re-evaluated and increased, and it needs those NIMBYs who have tried to prevent nuclear power stations from being built to shut up and face facts. If a nuclear power station is built on your doorstep then there is a small chance that it will fail and cause terrible problems for you (remembering that if you take 2 weeks holiday a year then that’s 4% of the time you won’t even be in the vicinity); however, a lack of nuclear power stations at this time, when there is still no real viable alternative to oil for power generation, is certain to lead to some very drastic doomsday scenarios once Peak Oil is reached – which won’t be long.

Peak Oil is a term used to describe the time when the world’s oil production is exceeded by the world’s demand for oil. This is something that I never worried about before because I was aware that there was plenty of oil still waiting to be pumped, and never thought the day would arrive when the oil producing nations would struggle to meet demand. Even thought the price of oil has been rocketing recently, I still had confidence in the reserves of oil available being able to to meet demand and remaining viable through the next 20-30 years (which will see me to the end of my life). I remained confident until I read this article from Business Week.

In brief, this article states that Saudi Arabia, which is still the holder of the world’s largest oil fields, has promised to ramp up production in order to alleviate the current high price of oil, but it seems that this promise will not be met. It is in the oil producers best interests to keep the price of oil high, but not too high, because that way they make good money but don’t force people into using alternative power sources. So, whilst Saudi Arabia would love to up production now that the rest of the world is in shock over the recent rise in oil prices, it would seem that they are unable to actually pump and process any more oil – which makes their supply stagnant.

Sine the rest of the oil producing nations are already running at full production rates, and may even be failing to produce at all over the next week, then we may well be at that fabled point of Peak Oil, which means that things will go downhill from now on. The impact will not be felt immediately, but continuously rising costs and fuel shortages will lead to spiraling costs and shortages of other goods. These factors will cause businesses to fail, leading to higher unemployment, but the government will receive less money and so will not be able to support these victims. Rising costs and no government support lead to rising civil unrest and crime, which puts civilisation on the slippery slope towards anarchy. This might sound far-fetched to you, but the steps involved will be small and seemingly insignificant, but they will combine, in a logical manner, to create the possible collapse of society as we know it. You can read a lot more about this whole process here.

It’s important to remember that this is the likely course of events given our current state of affairs, and this doomsday scenario doesn’t take into account advancements in technology or governments having the courage to act now to forestall this tragedy. I’d probably put my money on technology advances, which is what the governments are doing, because most governments are too scared to do what needs to be done as this will lose them votes. We NEED nuclear power stations to be built NOW! It takes around 10 years to build a nuclear power station and get it up and running, but if we start now then by the time oil is actually getting short and starting to pose a serious threat to our electricity supply then we would have these nuclear power stations either in operation or approaching completion, and this would alleviate one of the biggest impacts of Peak Oil. I know some people believe that with electric vehicles now starting to become mainstream that this will alleviate some of the coming oil crisis, but where are these vehicles to get their electric charge from when the majority of the power supply is generated using oil? So write to your MP/Senator and ask why nuclear power stations are not being created now; after all they are not reliant on oil, they are the most environmentally friendly way of generating power and they take so long to build that if they’re not started soon then it may be too late.

Another technological advance that would mitigate the impact of Peak Oil is the development of commercially viable hydrogen fuel cells. These would very quickly allow most transport to move to an oil free fuel supply (air transport would need a radical rethink in order to be able to use fuel cells, but all other modes of transport could be converted relatively simply). Hydrogen fuel cells would also allow us to change the way we look at our power supplies as well, as it may be more cost effective for businesses and larger properties to move to generating their own supply via a fuel cell rather than relying on commercial supply. This would, once again, dramatically cut our reliance on oil.

The biggest stumbling blocks to actually dealing with Peak Oil are the oil producing nations, who stand to lose their income if people move away from oil as a primary fuel source; the governments, who need to build nuclear power stations that nobody wants built near them; and the power supply companies, who stand to lose a lot of revenue if individuals could begin to generate their own power. These people all have a vested interest in the status quo and would quite happily carry on, with no moves made to forestall Peak Oil, until it’s too late. So all we can do is prepare for a very rough ride ahead.